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September 5, 2026

4 developments

  1. Low turnout risk flagged

    CCAA warned violence and voter uncertainty could push participation below the 70-75% target.

  2. Gun incidents rise during the ban

    58 incidents were recorded from 16 July to 31 August, a 32% increase.

  3. 108 areas flagged as red

    ANFREL and NDI warned of controlled voting where clan and armed influence overlap.

  4. Policing report published

    Crisis Group documented military dominance and police capacity gaps.

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